Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.121850 0.140720 0.161295 0.185363 0.212710 0.242781 0.278318
2024-12-15 0.099417 0.125991 0.157463 0.197343 0.246374 0.304523 0.378534
2024-12-22 0.078020 0.107566 0.145260 0.196544 0.264117 0.349683 0.465747
2024-12-29 0.067112 0.099704 0.144097 0.208354 0.298227 0.418567 0.590817
2025-01-05 0.056422 0.089830 0.138163 0.212191 0.321458 0.475266 0.706180
2025-01-12 0.046220 0.078571 0.128104 0.208071 0.332130 0.514942 0.801570
2025-01-19 0.038750 0.070016 0.120467 0.205953 0.344720 0.557843 0.905271
2025-01-26 0.035277 0.067285 0.121380 0.217008 0.378476 0.635483 1.068698
2025-02-02 0.032098 0.064440 0.121537 0.226552 0.410485 0.713071 1.239038
2025-02-09 0.027062 0.057293 0.113118 0.220049 0.414450 0.745122 1.337980
2025-02-16 0.023517 0.052335 0.107835 0.218228 0.425949 0.790271 1.462186
2025-02-23 0.020104 0.047014 0.101037 0.212552 0.429554 0.821657 1.564859
2025-03-02 0.017390 0.042742 0.095795 0.209412 0.437959 0.863174 1.690969
2025-03-09 0.015753 0.040539 0.094425 0.213773 0.461196 0.933863 1.876462
2025-03-16 0.013504 0.036502 0.088572 0.208076 0.463808 0.966058 1.993123
2025-03-23 0.012699 0.035785 0.089869 0.217749 0.498732 1.063390 2.242283
2025-03-30 0.011486 0.033809 0.088008 0.220198 0.518706 1.132953 2.443013
2025-04-06 0.009972 0.030746 0.083124 0.215100 0.521773 1.168564 2.578888
2025-04-13 0.008799 0.028366 0.079515 0.212458 0.529868 1.215056 2.740507
2025-04-20 0.008441 0.028229 0.081515 0.223571 0.570304 1.333037 3.059925
2025-04-27 0.008031 0.027864 0.082867 0.233229 0.608313 1.448848 3.383519
2025-05-04 0.006978 0.025313 0.078005 0.226466 0.606584 1.477444 3.521603
2025-05-11 0.006240 0.023597 0.075159 0.224552 0.616349 1.532366 3.721444